Justin Jefferson, WR, MIN
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 Totals Average Standard Deviation
Rushes 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0.2 0.4
Targets 11 12 6 13 13 8 8 13 16 5 11 116 10.5 3.2
Fantasy Points 30.4 4.8 1.4 21.0 18.3 10.7 9.8 18.5 25.3 3.3 20.3 163.8 14.9 9.1
Previous Seasons: 2021
07/28/2022 - The Vikings have more talent than they know what to do with. Hopefully. But Jefferson is the best among them. Despite the coaching change, Jefferson is too good to see any real drop off in targets. Kirk Cousins can be streaky, so there will occasionally be a dip in production, but he does usually manage to come away with a handful of targets. Not much to see here.

Summary Fantasy Outlook For Justin Jefferson

Here's what you can expect out of Justin Jefferson. They currently average 14.9 points/week, which puts them at 2 in a pool of 180 WRs. Their standard deviation is 9.1, and their consistency is 1.6 which gives them a rank of 81 among WRs. This means they should be reliable for a baseline of 5.8 points in the vast majority of their games, with a potential to frequently see as high as 23.9 points. Justin Jefferson averages 10.5 targets per game with standard deviation 3.2. In recent weeks, they have an average of 10.7 targets, which is a change of 1.15% compared to the rest of the season.



Fantasy Outlook - Streak Discussion

In recent weeks, Justin Jefferson has seen a change of 1.1% in targets when compared to the rest of the season, a stable trend in usage by the team.


Streak Data For Justin Jefferson

Rushes 3 Week Moving Avg0.0
Rushes Season Avg0.2
Percent Change-100.0%

Targets 3 Week Moving Avg10.7
Targets Season Avg10.5
Percent Change1.1%




Percent Change is the (3 week moving average minus the season to date average) divided by the season to date average.




Fantasy Outlook - Targets Discussion

Justin Jefferson is ranked 55 for targets among all WRs (a pool of 180) with an average of 10.5 targets per game, compared to the average among top 50 WRs of 7.4, and the average among all WRs of 3.9. Justin Jefferson's standard deviation of targets per week is 3.2 and a consistency of 3.3 which gives them a consistency ranking of 56 among a total pool of 180. This compares to standard deviation of 2.8 and Consistency of 2.7 among WRs and standard deviation of 2.0 and Consistency of 1.8 among WRs.


Target Data For Justin Jefferson

Targets Per Week10.5
St Dev Tgts Per Week3.2
Targets Per Week Rank55
Targets Per Week Percent Rank97.9%
Target Consistency3.3
Consistency Rank56
Consistency Percent Rank77.0%


WR Top 50 Pool Data

Average Targets Per Week7.4
Average Consistency Per Week2.7
Pool Count50


WR Pool Data

Average Tgts Per Week3.9
Average Consistency Per Week1.8
Pool Count180

Top 50 Pool: Top 50 WRs by fantasy points.
Total Pool: WRs with a minimum of 3 games.






Fantasy Outlook - Rushes Discussion

Justin Jefferson is ranked 55 for rushes among all WRs (a pool of 180) with an average of 0.2 rushes per game, compared to the average among top 50 WRs of 0.3, and the average among all WRs of 0.2. Justin Jefferson's standard deviation of rushes per week is 0.4 and their consistency is 0.5, which gives them a consistency ranking of 206 among a total pool of 180.This compares to standard deviation of 0.4 and Consistency of 0.7 among WRs and standard deviation of 0.3 and Consistency of 0.6 among WRs.


Rushes Data For Justin Jefferson

Rushes Per Week0.2
St Dev Rush Per Week0.4
Rush Per Week Rank55
Rush Per Week Percent Rank76.2%
Rush Consistency0.5
Rush Consistency Rank206
Rush Consistency Percent Rank13.0%


WR Top 50 Pool Data

Average Rushes Per Week0.3
Average Rush Consistency0.7
Pool Count50


WR Pool Data

Average Rush Per Week0.2
Average Consistency0.6
Pool Count180

Top 50 Pool: Top 50 WRs by fantasy points.
Total Pool: WRs with a minimum of 3 games.






Fantasy Outlook - Consistency Discussion

In terms of points, Justin Jefferson is ranked 2 for points among all WRs with a Consistency of 1.6, and Standard Deviation of 9.1 ranking 81 among WRs. The average fantasy WR will have a consistency of 1.1.


Consistency Data For Justin Jefferson

Fantasy Points Consistency1.6
Fantasy Points Consistency Rank81
Fantasy Points Consistency Percent Rank66.5%


WR Top 50 Pool Data

Fantasy Points Consistency1.6
Count Pool50


WR Pool Data

Fantasy Points Consistency1.1
Count Pool180

Top 50 Pool: Top 50 WRs by fantasy points.
Total Pool: WRs with a minimum of 3 games.








Fantasy Outlook - Point Production Discussion

Justin Jefferson's average points per week is 14.9, giving them rank 2 with a standard deviation of 9.1, giving them a consistency ranking of 81. This gives them a baseline of 5.8 and potential of 23.9.


Point Production Data For Justin Jefferson

Fantasy Points Per Week14.9
St Dev Points Per Week9.1
Fantasy Points Rank2
Fantasy Points Percent Rank99.6%
Consistency1.6
Consistency Rank81
Consistency Percent Rank66.5%
Fantasy Points Baseline5.8
Fantasy Points Potential23.9


WR Top 50 Pool Data

Average Points Per Week9.0
Average Consistency Per Week1.6
Average Fantasy Points Baseline3.2
Average Fantasy Points Potential14.7
Count Pool50


WR Pool Data

Average Points per Week4.3
Average Consistency1.1
Average Fantasy Points Baseline0.8
Average Fantasy Points Potential7.9
Count Pool180

Top 50 Pool: Top 50 WRs by fantasy points.
Total Pool: WRs with a minimum of 3 games.




Leading Rushers
Player Rushes
Derrick Henry 349
Josh Jacobs 340
Nick Chubb 302
Saquon Barkley 295
Najee Harris 272
Dalvin Cook 264
Jamaal Williams 262
Miles Sanders 259
Christian McCaffrey 244
Ezekiel Elliott 231
Kenneth Walker III 228
Alvin Kamara 223
Dameon Pierce 220
Travis Etienne Jr. 220
Aaron Jones 213
Joe Mixon 212
Rhamondre Stevenson 210
Tyler Allgeier 210
Brian Robinson 205
Austin Ekeler 204
Leading Catchers
Player Targets
Travis Kelce 152
T.J. Hockenson 129
Stefon Diggs 128
Austin Ekeler 127
Davante Adams 123
Justin Jefferson 116
Tyreek Hill 115
Mark Andrews 113
Christian McCaffrey 108
Tyler Higbee 108
CeeDee Lamb 104
Michael Pittman Jr. 103
Cooper Kupp 98
Evan Engram 98
Pat Freiermuth 98
Diontae Johnson 94
Amari Cooper 93
Chris Olave 92
DK Metcalf 92
Christian Kirk 91